Provenance

Every admitted source is tagged with the method that produced today's value. Real publications carry weight 1.0; frequency-aligned upsamples 0.95; nowcasts 0.85; statistical-fidelity-gated synth 0.70. The composite GAI integrates each contribution at its calibrated weight.

Constellation

Each tile is a tracked index sized by its z-magnitude and shaded by regime. Click any tile to drill into the full chart.

Categories

Each category aggregates indices feeding the GAI from one domain.

Publications & documents

Published papers

Selected peer-reviewed work by the founder. For the complete list, see steliosbekiros.com or Google Scholar.

• Publications
• AI, ML & Big Data
• Quantum Computing
• Econophysics & Chaos Resources
• Blockchain — Blueprint for a New Economy
• Algorithms & Programming

Cite this work

@misc{bekiros2026apocalypse,
  author       = {Bekiros, Stelios},
  title        = {{APOCALYPSE}: A Multi-Agent Forecasting System for the Global Apocalypse Index},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {APOCALYPSE Research Foundation},
  url          = {https://apocalypse-index.org},
  note         = {Daily publication; see white paper for methodology}
}

All donations support open research. Receipts available on request.

• General inquiries [email protected] Media, press, technical questions about the Index, dashboard issues, and general correspondence.
• APOCALYPSE Research Foundation [email protected] Institutional partnerships, research collaborations, grants, data-sharing agreements, and donor relations.
• Prof. Dr. Stelios Bekiros [email protected] Direct line to the founder for academic exchange, invited talks, and confidential matters.
• Personal site steliosbekiros.com
• ORCID 0000-0002-9376-8726
• Google Scholar Publications profile

About APOCALYPSE

APOCALYPSE is the original work of Prof. Dr. Stelios Bekiros. It is an independent multi-source intelligence system that estimates planetary and human-system stress and emits a calibrated readout in three coupled dimensions:

• GAI — the headline Global Apocalypse Index: a composite, calibrated estimate of present-state stress across the full tracked universe.
• GAI-x — the forward-looking projection: where the system is heading on the near-term horizon, conditioned on the current state.
• GAI-y — the volatility / regime-shift signal: how unstable the present configuration is, and the likelihood of a regime change.

Together, GAI, GAI-x and GAI-y form a single readout — level, direction, and turbulence — rather than a single number in isolation.

How values get here

1. Rolling-window observations are gathered from every tracked source across the public-data universe.
2. Inputs are normalised, gap-filled, and reconciled into a unified state-vector at a shared cadence.
3. An ensemble of specialist neural agents trains and backtests on the rolling window under cross-validated supervision.
4. Outputs are fused into the three dimensions — present state (GAI), forecast (GAI-x), and volatility / regime (GAI-y) — and calibrated against held-out validation slices.
5. Each daily cycle must pass model-quality gates (discrimination, calibration, false-alarm rate) before promotion; a failed run is rolled back and the previous canonical state is retained.
6. The dashboard refuses to publish without a fresh, validated model-run manifest signed by the calibration gate.

Editorial principles

• Transparency of inputs. Every tracked index links back to its publicly citable publisher.
• No single-factor dominance. The Index is composite by design.
• Calibration over hyperbole.
• Not financial advice.

Cadence

• Daily 12:00 GMT — full publication cycle.
• On-event — out-of-band refresh on large disturbances.

Copyright

© Stelios Bekiros — All Rights Reserved. The methodologies and internal models are proprietary.